Europe and Brexit: 10 Things to Watch in 2019 from SCER

| Kirsty Hughes and Anthony Salamone

COMMENT | The SCER team have looked into the 2019 crystal ball – predictions from Kirsty Hughes (KH), Director of SCER and Anthony Salamone (AS) Research Fellow, SCER. (1) Will Brexit Go Ahead on Time? The big question. It could do either if the Commons voted…
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Commons’ Brexit Choices Narrowing as Clock Ticks Down

| Kirsty Hughes

COMMENT | As the clock counts down to Tuesday evening’s vote, and beyond that to 29 March 2019, options are narrowing down even while uncertainty reigns and instability looms. Some suggest the choice is now May’s deal, no Brexit or no deal Brexit. Others…
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Political Declaration: ‘Canada Dry’ or ‘Turkey Plus’?

| Kirsty Hughes

COMMENT | There are few surprises in the EU-UK’s political declaration to accompany the much longer, legally binding withdrawal agreement. The combined effect of the EU and UK’s red lines are seen on the first page of the declaration where it’s admitted that the…
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Brexit Deal Series: The Draft Withdrawal Agreement and Citizens’ Rights

| Rebecca Zahn

COMMENT | The Draft Withdrawal Agreement between the United Kingdom and the European Union was published on Wednesday 14 November after almost two years of lengthy negotiations. The withdrawal agreement is the legal text managing the UK’s exit…
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Brexit and Scotland – the Row over the Backstop

| Kirsty Hughes

COMMENT | The backstop for the Irish border in the draft withdrawal agreement has been the focus of a major row between the Scottish Conservatives and the Scottish government in recent days. Beyond that, there have been criticisms in Scotland that the…
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Brexit Deal Series: Which Brexit Deal: Mad, Implausible, Plausible or Desirable?

| Anton Muscatelli

COMMENT | The political maelstrom which has engulfed the UK had been widely anticipated, with the Government struggling to sell the draft agreement with the EU to its own Cabinet and to both the Tory backbenches and the DUP. The next few weeks will…
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Brexit Deal Series: The EU27 Remain United on Brexit

| Quentin Peel

COMMENT | While the UK is obsessed with the daily melodramas of political meltdown over Brexit, the rest of Europe is looking on with amazement, alarm and an increasing sense of dread. The fear of deadlock at Westminster, and a no-deal Brexit, is growing…
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Brexit Deal Series: The Brexit Crossroads: Will the Deal Go Through?

| Kirsty Hughes

COMMENT | The UK’s chaotic Brexit politics continues to unfold. Whether a deal passes or not in the House of Commons in December depends now not least on whether enough Tory Brexiter MPs will vote against Theresa May’s Brexit deal. It would certainly be the…
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